The Bear 2026 Waitlist Data
Movement, demographics, and trend analysis. Updated daily — subscribers get more frequent checks. No personal data — see the runner list for individual positions.
Currently on waitlist
120
Days tracked
164
Total ever observed
232
Avg / day added
0.1
Avg / day removed
0.8
Invite-clear rate
21.1%
Movement by time window
| Window | Added | Invited off | Dropped |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 24 hours | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 7 days | 0 | 8 | 16 |
| Since tracking began | 5 | 49 | 62 |
Drop rate (left waitlist without invitation): 26.7%. Clear rate (invited off the waitlist): 21.1%. Counts reflect roster changes observed by our automated scraper — early-history accuracy depends on snapshot completeness.
Daily snapshot history
| Date | Total on waitlist | Added | Removed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 120 | — | 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 122 | — | 7 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 129 | — | 10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 139 | — | 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 141 | — | 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 142 | — | 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 144 | 1 | 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 146 | — | 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 148 | — | 1 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 149 | — | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 149 | — | 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 152 | — | 6 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 158 | — | 3 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 161 | — | — |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 161 | — | 1 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 162 | — | 2 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 164 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 164 | — | 3 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 167 | — | 2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 169 | — | 1 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 170 | — | 2 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 172 | — | 1 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 173 | — | — |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 173 | — | 3 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 176 | — | 1 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 177 | — | 1 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 178 | — | — |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 178 | — | — |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 178 | — | — |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 178 | — | 1 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 179 | — | 1 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 180 | — | — |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 180 | — | — |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 180 | — | — |
| Jun 14, 2026 | 180 | — | 1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 181 | — | 1 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 182 | — | 1 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | 183 | 1 | 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | 183 | — | — |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 183 | — | 2 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 185 | 1 | — |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 184 | — | 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | 186 | — | 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | 187 | — | — |
| May 29, 2026 | 187 | — | 1 |
| May 27, 2026 | 188 | — | 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | 189 | — | 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | 190 | — | 1 |
| May 21, 2026 | 191 | — | — |
| May 20, 2026 | 191 | 1 | 2 |
| May 19, 2026 | 192 | — | — |
| May 18, 2026 | 192 | 1 | 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | 192 | — | — |
| May 16, 2026 | 192 | — | — |
| May 15, 2026 | 192 | — | — |
| May 14, 2026 | 192 | — | 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | 193 | — | — |
| May 12, 2026 | 193 | — | — |
| May 11, 2026 | 193 | — | 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | 195 | — | — |
| May 9, 2026 | 195 | — | — |
| May 8, 2026 | 195 | — | — |
| May 7, 2026 | 195 | — | — |
| May 6, 2026 | 195 | — | 2 |
| May 4, 2026 | 197 | — | 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | 198 | — | — |
| May 2, 2026 | 198 | — | — |
| May 1, 2026 | 198 | — | 4 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 26, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 202 | — | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 202 | — | 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 18, 2026 | 203 | — | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 203 | — | 1 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 204 | — | — |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 204 | — | — |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 204 | — | 1 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 205 | — | 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 206 | — | 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | 207 | — | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 207 | — | 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 209 | — | — |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 209 | — | — |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 209 | — | 1 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | 210 | — | — |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 210 | — | — |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 210 | — | 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Apr 2, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 211 | — | 1 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 212 | — | — |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 212 | 1 | — |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 211 | — | — |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 211 | — | 2 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 213 | — | — |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 213 | — | — |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 213 | — | 1 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 214 | — | — |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 214 | — | 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 215 | — | 2 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 217 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 217 | — | 1 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 218 | — | — |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 218 | — | — |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 218 | — | 1 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 219 | — | 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 220 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 220 | — | — |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 220 | 1 | — |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 219 | — | 2 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 221 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 221 | — | — |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 221 | — | — |
| Feb 22, 2026 | 221 | — | 5 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | 226 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 226 | — | — |
Geographic distribution
Where the 120 current waitlist runners come from.
| State | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UT | 47 | 39.2% |
| CO | 11 | 9.2% |
| CA | 11 | 9.2% |
| WA | 7 | 5.8% |
| OR | 5 | 4.2% |
| ID | 5 | 4.2% |
| NV | 4 | 3.3% |
| MT | 4 | 3.3% |
| WY | 3 | 2.5% |
| TX | 2 | 1.7% |
| PA | 2 | 1.7% |
| NY | 2 | 1.7% |
| NM | 2 | 1.7% |
| MN | 2 | 1.7% |
| Unknown | 1 | 0.8% |
| TN | 1 | 0.8% |
| SD | 1 | 0.8% |
| OK | 1 | 0.8% |
| NH | 1 | 0.8% |
| MI | 1 | 0.8% |
| ME | 1 | 0.8% |
| LA | 1 | 0.8% |
| IL | 1 | 0.8% |
| FL | 1 | 0.8% |
| AZ | 1 | 0.8% |
| AK | 1 | 0.8% |
| AB | 1 | 0.8% |
Age distribution
| Age range | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown | 120 | 100.0% |